9/12/2023 0 Comments Eddie rosario refHis swing and miss rate of pitches outside the strike zone have plummeted to the lowest of the year for him against both breaking pitches and off speed pitches. Interestingly, in September Rosario has seen his chase rate be the highest of any month this year on fastballs and off speed pitches, and second highest of any month on breaking pitches. These numbers are much closer to Rosario’s “norm”. His swing and miss percentage has dropped on fastballs, breaking pitches, and off speed pitches to 26.4, 20.6, and 21.7 respectively. Looking at the chart below, we can see without even getting specific numbers that his swing and misses have plummeted. In the month of September, it has been a completely different story on Rosario swinging and missing than it has for the entire season. Rosario’s swing and miss percentages for the season against righties His swing and miss percentage are the highest of his career for fastballs, breaking pitches, and off speed pitches at 27.8 percent, 36.4 percent, and 33.3 percent respectively. His wRC+ is currently sitting at 131 against righties in September pointing to an adjustment in that arena leading to positive overall production.įirst, we can look at Rosario’s swing and miss percentages for the entire season. There are a few “smoking guns”, if you will, that point to how Eddie Rosario has been able to turn his output around in the month of September. To get to the overall wRC+ of 127 that Rosario has held in September, something had to have changed, and it has. So, it was concerning seeing him hit to a 76 wRC+ against righties from July-August this year, after his eyes had presumably been healed. Rosario, for most of his career, has had fared much better against righties than lefties, having a wRC+ ranging from 106 to 136 during his 2018-2021 campaigns against righties, while never having a wRC+ over 99 since 2015 against lefties. To be fair, there was probably an adjustment time, but these numbers were not striking confidence by any means. Rosario came back from injury on July 4 th and during that month had an xwOBA of. It is pretty obvious that early in the season Rosario’s eye issue was causing him to perform poorly, and that definitely plays a part, but it is not like he came back from injury setting the world on fire either. Why has Rosario seemed to turn things around? A 127 wRC+ would place Eddie Rosario 49 th in all of MLB in that time frame. 354, and a wRC+ of 127 for the month of September. His on field results have actually been much better, with a wOBA of. 319 xwOBA is not mind blowing, but is respectable, considering the previously mentioned league average. The interesting part is that every single month that he played, his xwOBA got better. xwOBA by monthĪs can be seen in the graphic above, Rosario never had an xwOBA above. Rosario has not been quite as impressive this year in terms of turning things around, but he has yet again started to hit much better in September after having dreadful performances for most of the rest of the season. 382, he would have been 10 th in all of MLB in that time frame, just beating out Austin Riley. For reference, if he would have had a wOBA of. In 2021, Rosario’s xwOBA never went above. Many fans will remember how Eddie Rosario came alive at the end of the year in 2021 and carried it over into the playoffs. 309.Įddie Rosario has adjusted to not being dreadful in September yet again His expectancy stats aren’t doing him any favors either. 269 wOBA is much lower than the MLB average of. Rosario’s wOBA has also been well below league average as well. With 216 of his 265 at bats (at the time of this writing) being after his return from his eye issue, you would be hard pressed to blame most of his negative fWAR on his injury alone. As far as fWAR goes, which is an accumulate stat, it shows that regardless of his plate appearances, he has added negative value. 219/.270/.342, which has equated to a wRC+ of 69 (31 percent below league average). His slash line has left little to be desired with a. Eddie Rosario has, for the most part, seemed to be a disappointment for the Atlanta Braves this season.
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